The Mass Index Volatility reading for Intl Bancshares (IBOC) has dropped below 26.5, indicating a potential move is ahead for the shares. The Mass Index is a volatility indicator developed by Donald Dorsey and discussed in the June 1992 issue of Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities. By analyzing the narrowing and widening of trading ranges, the indicator identifies potential reversals based on market patterns that aren’t often considered by technical analysts largely focused on singular price and volume movements. The Mass Index indicator uses the difference between the high and low in a given interval to spot potential price reversals. The main assumption is that prices tend to reverse when ranges widen beyond historical averages. Since this difference is constantly changing (ranges are always widening and narrowing), traders can use the Mass Index to generate trade signals, which occur when the index line (typically 25 periods) moves above 27 and then drops below 26.5.
For investors just starting out, having clear investment goals can be a big asset when approaching the stock market. If individuals can’t see clearly where they want to go, they may end up somewhere that they don’t necessarily want to be. Taking the time to actually develop a plan and goals can help get the ball rolling. Keeping these goals in mind as the investment process progresses may help the investor stay on track when the ride gets rough. The stock market can be an intimidating place for those who are new to the investing world. Accumulating knowledge and staying focused can help the investor slowly peel away the layers of uncertainty.
Interested traders may be keeping an eye on the Williams Percent Range or Williams %R. Williams %R is a popular technical indicator created by Larry Williams to help identify overbought and oversold situations. Investors will commonly use Williams %R in conjunction with other trend indicators to help spot possible stock turning points. Intl Bancshares (IBOC)’s Williams Percent Range or 14 day Williams %R currently sits at -34.64. In general, if the indicator goes above -20, the stock may be considered overbought. Alternately, if the indicator goes below -80, this may point to the stock being oversold.
Another technical indicator that might serve as a powerful resource for measuring trend strength is the Average Directional Index or ADX. The ADX was introduced by J. Welles Wilder in the late 1970’s and it has stood the test of time. The ADX is typically used in conjunction with the Plus Directional Indicator (+DI) and Minus Directional Indicator (-DI) to help spot trend direction as well as trend strength. At the time of writing, the 14-day ADX for Intl Bancshares (IBOC) is noted at 20.96. Many technical analysts believe that an ADX value over 25 would suggest a strong trend. A reading under 20 would indicate no trend, and a reading from 20-25 would suggest that there is no clear trend signal.
Investors may use various technical indicators to help spot trends and buy/sell signals. Presently, Intl Bancshares (IBOC) has a 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) of 78.46. The CCI was developed by Donald Lambert. The assumption behind the indicator is that investment instruments move in cycles with highs and lows coming at certain periodic intervals. The original guidelines focused on creating buy/sell signals when the reading moved above +100 or below -100. Traders may also use the reading to identify overbought/oversold conditions.
Taking a look at other technical levels, the 3-day RSI stands at 39.90, the 7-day sits at 48.66 and the 14-day (most common) is at 45.56. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is an often employed momentum oscillator that is used to measure the speed and change of stock price movements. When charted, the RSI can serve as a visual means to monitor historical and current strength or weakness in a certain market. This measurement is based on closing prices over a specific period of time. As a momentum oscillator, the RSI operates in a set range. This range falls on a scale between 0 and 100. If the RSI is closer to 100, this may indicate a period of stronger momentum. On the flip side, an RSI near 0 may signal weaker momentum. The RSI was originally created by J. Welles Wilder which was introduced in his 1978 book “New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems”.
Keeping an eye on Moving Averages, the 50-day is 36.11, the 200-day is at 37.70, and the 7-day is 34.41 for Intl Bancshares (IBOC). Moving averages have the ability to be used as a powerful indicator for technical stock analysis. Following multiple time frames using moving averages can help investors figure out where the stock has been and help determine where it may be possibly going. The simple moving average is a mathematical calculation that takes the average price (mean) for a given amount of time.
Creating a diversified stock portfolio is one way that investors may combat the unknown. Appropriate levels of risk that include different market scenarios might vary from one individual investor to the next. Investors may need to careful that they do not become too reliant on one big position. When that position is producing returns, it can be easy to assume that the holding will continue to produce positive results. If the portfolio is weighted too heavily on one or two big positions, an overall market downturn may send the investor reeling. Finding that proper portfolio balance is typically what dedicated investors strive for.
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